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Saturday, April 19, 2025

2022: Baker County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Baker County received $273.1 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $16,126 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 33.1% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a slight increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 30.3% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 2.8%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Baker County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $93 million (34.1% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $55.7 million (20.4%)—played a significant role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $4,600 in 2012 and $1,264 in 1970 to $5,493 in 2022, reflecting a 19.4% increase over the past decade and a 334.6% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $2,877 in 2012 and $196 in 1970 to $3,290, marking 14.4% and 1,578.6% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 27.4% of the total population, compared to 23.1% in 2012 and 14% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Baker County excluding public assistance amounted to $32,540 per capita in 2022, compared to $48,666 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $63.7 million, a 23.3% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $26.9 million, or 9.8% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Baker County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 3.4%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Baker County, 2022
Social Security Transfers [34.1%]Medicaid Transfers [23.3%]Medicare Transfers [20.4%]Income Maintenance Transfers [9.8%]

2022 Oregon County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Curry County137.57%36.45%38.9%26.7%15.5%7.1%$19,520
Coos County234.72%28%32.2%22.9%24.4%9.3%$18,863
Josephine County334.64%27.25%31.3%20.5%28.1%9.3%$18,070
Douglas County435.5%26.55%32.9%20.8%22.7%9.6%$17,552
Wheeler County539.95%38.12%38%24.7%19.3%6.7%$17,204
Lincoln County631.24%32.13%39.7%26.2%14.9%8.6%$16,711
Klamath County734.65%22.47%28.9%19%27.4%11.6%$16,370
Grant County831.9%31.61%34.7%25.7%19.7%8.5%$16,346
Wallowa County930.9%29.42%37.1%25.1%17.6%7%$16,286
Jefferson County1037.31%20.13%26.1%23.1%30.6%11.3%$16,175
Baker County1133.14%27.41%34.1%20.4%23.3%9.8%$16,126
Sherman County1223.78%25.89%32.3%22.9%27.1%7.6%$16,040
Tillamook County1329.24%28.19%37.9%25%19.6%8%$15,976
Linn County1430.4%19.52%28.1%19.9%33.7%9.2%$15,952
Harney County1531.84%26.53%30.1%27.4%21.3%9.8%$15,927
Crook County1630.32%25.52%35%24.1%21.6%8.3%$15,745
Union County1732%21.85%29%21.8%25%9.8%$15,689
Lake County1833.33%25.55%30.7%29.2%16.8%9.3%$15,576
Wasco County1929%21.85%30.3%21.1%28.7%10%$15,141
Gilliam County2021.88%30.23%35.4%27%18.4%8.2%$15,122
Jackson County2126.22%23.29%32.8%21.5%25.6%9.6%$15,092
Malheur County2238.61%17.2%23.1%17.4%38.8%13.7%$14,828
Clatsop County2327.17%25.19%35.6%23.7%21.6%8.5%$14,613
Marion County2425.81%16.73%26.4%18.3%37.6%10.5%$14,049
Lane County2524.37%21%33.1%21.1%25.5%9.8%$13,693
Columbia County2625.34%20.36%35.1%22.5%24%8.5%$13,612
Umatilla County2727.62%16.37%24.8%19.8%33.3%11.4%$13,575
Deschutes County2817.54%21.27%37.4%23.1%22.1%7%$12,560
Yamhill County2922%18.82%33.2%21.9%27.5%9.2%$12,456
Morrow County3022.35%16.73%27.5%24.2%25.1%12.4%$12,308
Polk County3123.25%19.11%36%23.2%21.2%9.5%$11,691
Multnomah County3215.28%14.85%28.7%19.6%30.3%12.2%$10,688
Hood River County3316.44%18.31%33.6%19.9%26.6%9.9%$10,647
Clackamas County3413.5%19.88%44.2%26.3%11.1%8.5%$9,876
Washington County3512.69%14.83%33.9%21.1%26.7%8.7%$9,311
Benton County3614.66%17.98%44.9%22.5%7.7%9.7%$8,108

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